Justin Smith shares a sequel to the post “Biden's Chamberlain Stylistics and Ukraine.” Read the possibilities of Putin saber rattling, European greed and Dementia Joe idiocy.
Ukraine Moves Troops to
Defend Chernobyl Map (Screen Capture from The Sun 1/24/22 title: Russia-Ukraine
News: Latest Crisis Vladimir Putin Invasion)
JRH1/28/22
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Putin's Demands Are Contrary to Freedom
Russia: An Existential Threat to Ukraine and Europe - Biden
Retreats In the Face of Russian Aggression
By Justin O. Smith
Sent 1/27/2022 1:52 PM
The confidence is high in America and across Europe among
all Intelligence agencies, that President Vladimir Putin will direct Russian
military forces to invade Ukraine, without something more than diplomacy and
action of some large significance and backed with resolve by NATO occurring
within the next three weeks. He's sent Russian soldiers and armaments along the
borders between Russia, Belarus and Ukraine and given the current weakness he
finds in the Biden regime and NATO, with Germany
blocking allies from arming Ukraine further, and [JRH] ***Turkey
signaling its own reluctance to fully commit, Putin has
nothing to lose by taking Ukraine and finishing the initial phase of his agenda
to rebuild the former Russian Empire.
***[Blog Editor: As of 3:45 Central Time, the original
link Justin provided to be embedded about Turkey (https://ecfr.eu/article/war-in-ukraine-erdogans-greatest-challenge-yet/)
would not open implying the website was down. By the time Justin’s submission
is posted it might be operating again. The link I embedded is the same title as
the link shared by Justin.]
Unfortunately, [JRH] too
many leaders in Europe seem more interested in benefitting and profiting
from [JRH] Gazprom's
Russian natural gas than they do in preventing a free and sovereign
people in Ukraine from being harmed and killed by another tyrant's invading
army.
Joe Biden's foreign policy "vision" has been
revealed to be blind as a bat and far from the vision of a "remarkable
stateman" the leftist media gushed over on the campaign trail. Once in
office, [JRH] Biden
abandoned any resistance to allowing the completion of the Nord Stream 2
pipeline, thus strengthening Putin's position and his leverage over
Europe. And rather than exert a pro-active plan to answer Russia's current
aggression against Ukraine, Biden is satisfied to retreat and wait for Russia
to act first and after all the damage is done, perhaps at the cost of thousands
upon thousands of lives.
[Blog editor: Of possible interest:
o What Russia
Wants in Ukraine; By Soeren Kern;
Gatestone Institute;
12/6/21 5:00 am]
While Russia
isn't exactly a Communist state any longer, it has implemented a sort of
state "crony-capitalism" under Putin that sees some fifty-five
to seventy percent of Russia's economy controlled by the state
(depending on whose stats one accepts as accurate) and 20 million people
employed by the state. However, more than any battle between the NATO allies
and Russia over ideological differences, the battle for Ukraine really does
have more to do with Putin's ambition to rebuild Russia to her former might and
"glory" (infamy?) than anything else.
However, many oligarchs and ordinary Russians are currently
disgruntled over the poorly performing Russian economy, and the Russian people
aren't anymore anxious for a war with Ukraine than the American people are.
Here again, there weren't any calls within Russia to attack Georgia in 2008 or
Ukraine in 2014, or to enter Syria, and yet Putin took those actions upon
himself, his own authority.
America and Her NATO allies are justified in their attempt
to stop this current invasion of Ukraine by Russia. Forty million people should
never have their independence trampled so easily and with nary a word of hard,
firm and resolved protest from the Free World, but there are ways and means to
avert all of this if both sides will come together in an honest effort to
arrive at a solution that works for all parties involved.
But is honest even possible in the world we live
today?
America and NATO aren't the aggressors in this entire mess.
At the time of Russia's first invasion of Ukraine, President Obama had
already pulled our frontlines back in Europe and even abandoned placing new
missile installations in Poland and the Czech Republic for the defense of Europe
in 2009. Ukraine was absolutely no threat to Russia, but Putin was incensed
at the notion of Ukraine being out from under Russia's influence and control,
which the election of that year had virtually ensured; a large part of the
civil upheaval was due to the Ukrainian people's anger over the previous
president, Viktor Yanukovych, being a Russian puppet.
Much of what America and the world sees today is simply a
continuation of the conflict from seven years or so ago. In March of 2014, I
noted:
"Ukrainians have long
sought closer ties with the EU and the U.S. and their markedly freer cultures
and political systems, not Putin and Russia. Five hundred thousand dollars
annually have gone towards this goal since 2011 through the U.S. Agency for
International Development, because many influential Ukrainians, such as Vitali
Klitshko, a member of Ukraine Parliament, feared Yanukovych's growing
subservience to Putin; Putin's $15 billion bribe was intended to coax Ukraine
into his Eurasian Union, and, in appealing to Yanukovych's corrupt nature, it
effectively sabotaged the EU-Ukraine Association Agreement: So an East-West
confrontation emerged, which is based on Putin's desire to keep Russian
hegemony in the region and enhance his own power."
And nothing has changed from 2014 to the present, except
Putin didn't have a renewed opportunity to finish his work with Ukraine until
Biden and NATO handed a new excuse to him.
In 2014, it's worth noting that Putin
sent Spetsnaz (Russian special forces) into eastern Ukraine and Donetsk
to aid the ethnic Russians in the region in the civil war that broke out over
the election results and the Maiden Revolt. We could compare this to Mexico
sending troops to help dissatisfied Hispanics in Texas. But, the fact remains,
Donetsk is a part of sovereign Ukraine and those Russians weren't being held
hostage; they could leave and return to Mother Russia, but neither them nor
Putin should expect the administration of President Volodymyr Zelensky and the
bulk of the Ukrainian people to just throw up their hands and allow a sizeable
chunk of their land to be annexed, stolen, by Russia, without a fierce fight.
Incredulously, some political pundits and even so-called
"journalists" have recently suggested that giving Putin the eastern
sector of Ukraine would be an acceptable outcome, if it kept the peace and
prevented a war. With this logic, not a single country is safe from any tyrant
wishing to expand his power through any evil machination of his making, no
matter how noble these pundits' notion of welcoming Putin into the Western fold
might be.
And now, the current battle brewing is for the entire
enchilada, Ukraine proper. If Putin is not dissuaded soon from invading, he
takes all Ukraine, even if afterwards a messy, hard fought, bloody war
continues on for months, perhaps a few years, through resistance groups that
will most assuredly manifest themselves across the Ukraine countryside, towns
and cities.
If Putin is intent on taking the hardline regarding his
demands of NATO, he's leaving himself little room to do anything else but
invade, and quite possibly, he's known along that he would do so, in light
of the weakness he now sees so readily evidenced throughout the Biden regime
and NATO. Military action is Putin's only option, if he is unwilling to
come to the negotiating table and continues to seek a decisive triumph over the
U.S. and NATO on the Ukraine issue, to embarrass and widen existing fractures;
and with his most proficient military groups already staged strategically for
action, if Putin really does plan to invade, he will have to act soon and while
the ground is still frozen.
All the experts
seem to agree, at the moment, that Russia would need to amass three times the
number of troops and supplies on the border, if they were planning a full
scale invasion, rather than a limited incursion, especially if they
wanted to successful combat the counter-insurgency forces that would arise.
Many Ukrainian civilians have already spent many long years training and
preparing for just such an event.
It won't take long for Russia's top military brass and the
families of soldiers to realize Russia is paying an ever-increasing price in
blood to build Putin's legacy. And although the Ukrainians most likely cannot
beat the Russians in a straight fight using conventional weapons, they do stand
a great chance of convincing Putin to withdraw once the cost in blood and
treasure becomes too high for Russia to bear.
This would be a fairly easy war to avoid, if Putin was
really only concerned about Russia's security concerns.
However, regardless of Russia's position, America and NATO
cannot let Putin continue to control the narrative or tell them how to conduct
security for Europe and NATO members or who can and cannot join NATO. That's
just not how Freedom works.
Many have asked, "Well how would the U.S. feel if
Russia were helping Communists in Mexico?" Well, that's
just what Russia aka the former USSR did throughout most of the 20th century.
They were also active all across South and Central America, from Peru,
Venezuela and Cuba to Colombia, Nicaragua and El Salvador. And we
met the threat and answered it the best we could as a nation, but without
invading any of those nations.
The Western allies are right in finding Putin's arrogant
attempt to veto Ukraine's membership in NATO an intolerable demand. And even
Finland observed, well before any other nation, that only NATO can decide its
membership and not any other country. And bellicose and belligerent as ever,
Putin's demand that the U.S. must cease military training and maneuvers in or
near Eastern Europe bespeaks of more arrogance from the leader of a country
that was defeated during the Cold War.
In the meantime, this dangerous crisis has the hearts of
many people pounding fiercely in trepidation of what may come, if Putin's
threats aren't successfully met, countered and stopped or an actual invasion of
Ukraine isn't successfully repelled. Former Soviet satellite countries, such as
Poland, Hungary, the Czech Republic, Estonia, Lithuania and Latvia all see any
weakness that yields to Russian aggression and expansion as a mortal and
existential threat to their people.
Even some old Obama advisors, such as Celeste Wallander, are
seeing the error in appeasement. Wallander served on the National Security
Council from 2013 to 2017, and now she is a nominee for an Assistant Secretary
of Defense position dealing with international security affairs for the Biden
regime. During her confirmation hearing, Wallander
stated:
"I believe that our
response in 2014 was too slow and too incremental. And it's confirmed by the
lessons I learned, and that I believe others in the national-security community
learned, to better address Russia's ongoing aggression ..... I believe one of
the lessons I learned is that it would have been appropriate and necessary to
provide Ukraine with what it needed to defend its territory."
Yes. The Biden regime should already be pre-emptively
enacting the heaviest economic sanctions available against Russia
and Putin and all his crony oligarchs to put a significant hurt on their
finances, especially in areas associated with foreign capital and
Russia's ability to export and import items to the Free World and its allies.
Biden could start by getting our allies to close access to the financial
services of the [JRH] Society for Worldwide
Interbank Financial Telecommunications, which would prevent them
from rapidly acquiring and transferring funds from financial institutions
across the globe, but this would hinge on Belgium agreeing, since SWIFT is
incorporated under Belgian law. And for good measure, he could make a public
address calling on all Americans and America's allies to dump the ruble and all
Russian-tied investments.
On top of the economic sanctions, start flooding Ukraine
with everything it could possibly need to withstand the Russian invasion,
whether its radio equipment, trucks, or Javelin and Stinger missiles or
Turkey's Bayraktar TB2 drones, and lots and lots of medical supplies and
ready-to-eat meals, military-style MREs.
[JRH] Putin
has threatened nuclear war against the West, several times since
2008, over the Ukraine. Could this be the time he actually tosses one or more
at the West. I pray not, and though Putin is a power-mad tyrant, even he isn't
that insane -- is he?
If a world war starts over this, it will be Putin's doing,
not that it's any comfort once the killing starts and the dead bodies turn into
small mountains of decaying flesh.
Biden has already failed miserably in his assessment and
statements regarding Ukraine, and he has ensured that this will become another
severe geopolitical blow to the U.S., embassy abandonment and all. He's already
failed the patriots of Ukraine, who understand that democratic Ukraine is on
the frontline struggle against tyranny, and despite Biden's failures, fine and
decent Americans and our European counterparts must resolve to see a Free
Ukraine unrestrained from Her own destiny of choice, which will become a NATO
member when it's ready, under some righteous future administration, if it's
truly their desire.
Under any truly Freedom-loving Conservative administration
one might reasonably implore America and Her European allies to immediately
erect a tactical nuclear shield across the European fault lines and aimed
directly at Moscow, as was planned for by President Ronald Reagan, and during
days gone by, it would have been made so. Only then would we worry with making
Putin pay an economic price.
But this is Ol' Commie Joe we speak of, and he's more
willing than Marx himself to allow for the rapid destruction of those human
rights to which this nation has always been committed, and he's more determined
than ever to tempt our adversaries with weakness, while allowing the grasp
of a new trending, growing and expanding iron tyranny to insert itself and take
root in the four corners of the world.
By Justin O. Smith
__________________________
Edited by John R. Houk
Embedded source links are by Justin Smith except when
indicated by “JRH”. Content embraced by brackets are by the Editor. Bold
text indicates Editorial agreement with Justin.
© Justin O. Smith
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